Tag Archives: USD

UK PMI data surprise

Daily Market Outlook: UK Services Strength, Global Politics in Focus

Today’s economic calendar features several key data releases, beginning with Germany’s Business Survey, followed by the UK’s CBI Distributive Trades Survey—offering further insight into retail sector performance.

Across the Atlantic, attention will turn to the US housing market later this afternoon, with the release of the Home Price Index and New Home Sales data.

UK Services PMI Supports Sterling

Yesterday’s UK PMI data revealed renewed strength in the services sector, signalling a pick-up in economic momentum. The pound responded positively, gaining support as markets reassessed the growth outlook.

Geopolitical Developments in Focus

Beyond economic indicators, this week’s spotlight remains on diplomatic negotiations involving Russia and the US, with hopes of progress toward a resolution in the ongoing conflict with Ukraine. Any major developments could influence market sentiment and safe-haven flows.

Navigating Market Moves with Confidence

With a mix of data and geopolitics shaping the market narrative, now is a crucial time to review your FX strategy. Connect with a QuMoney expert for tailored insights to protect and optimise your international transactions.

Central Banks Hold Steady, Key PMI & Inflation Data Ahead | QuMoney

Market Recap: Central Banks Hold Steady as PMI and Inflation Data Loom

Last week’s central bank meetings from both the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England delivered no surprises, with interest rates left unchanged as widely expected. Post-meeting commentary was similarly aligned with market expectations, signalling a steady but cautious stance from both institutions.

Currency Markets Hold in Tight Ranges

Currency movements remained relatively contained throughout the week. While EUR/USD touched a fresh year-to-date high early on, the euro quickly lost steam and ended the week on a weaker footing.

Key Data Ahead: PMIs and Inflation in Focus

Looking ahead, the flash Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) releases for March from the US, Eurozone, and UK will be closely watched. These figures will offer valuable insights into economic momentum—or potential lack thereof—as Q1 draws to a close.

Additionally, inflation data will be front and centre this week. The UK will release CPI inflation figures for February, while in the US, markets await the latest core PCE reading—widely regarded as the Fed’s preferred inflation measure.

Monitoring Global Trade Risks

Ongoing trade-related developments also remain on the radar, with potential implications for currency stability and business strategy.

Stay Informed, Stay Ahead

With high-impact data on the horizon, now is the time to reassess your currency exposure. Speak with a QuMoney expert for tailored insights and strategies to help you navigate market volatility with confidence.

Fed pauses rate changes, BoE decision due today. Track market moves and manage FX risk with expert support from QuMoney.

Market Briefing: Fed Holds Rates as Focus Shifts to the Bank of England

As widely anticipated, the US Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged yesterday. However, during the press conference, Chair Jerome Powell underscored the growing uncertainty surrounding the US economic outlook. He reiterated that the Fed is in no rush to adjust its monetary policy, suggesting a more cautious stance for the months ahead.

Market Reaction Remains Subdued

Markets responded with little fanfare. While the US dollar saw a modest uptick immediately following the Fed’s announcement, those gains were erased overnight as sentiment softened.

Euro Slips Against Major Peers

The euro came under pressure during the session, weakening by 0.4% against both the pound and the dollar. The move reflected broader market caution and relative strength in sterling ahead of today’s Bank of England meeting.

Attention Turns to the Bank of England

UK economic data for January landed broadly in line with expectations earlier this morning. The spotlight now turns to the BoE’s policy decision, where interest rates are expected to remain unchanged. However, the key focus will be the meeting statement and the voting breakdown from the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), which could offer clues about the future direction of UK rates.

Expert Guidance in Uncertain Times

With central bank decisions shaping global currency markets, now is a key time to review your international payment strategies. For bespoke advice and market insights, speak to a QuMoney expert today.

All Eyes on the Fed as Euro Gains Ground

Market Focus: All Eyes on the Fed as Euro Gains Ground

With no major UK data on the calendar today, investor attention has shifted across the Channel and over to the US for key economic updates.

EU Inflation Data Due This Morning

Markets are awaiting the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures from the eurozone. Inflation is expected to come in softer than last month, which could put downward pressure on the euro if confirmed.

FOMC Policy Decision Takes Centre Stage

The day’s headline event is the US Federal Reserve’s policy announcement this evening. The market consensus points to a rate cut, with the Fed expected to reduce its headline rate from 4.5% to 4.37%.

However, the real focus will be on the Fed’s forward guidance. Investors will be watching closely for any signals about further rate adjustments in 2025, as policymakers weigh slowing inflation against persistent economic uncertainty.

Euro Strengthens on German Spending Boost

The euro has continued to edge higher overnight, following Germany’s announcement of increased public expenditure. This fiscal shift, agreed late Sunday, has lent the single currency support against both the pound and the dollar.

Sterling Holds Its Ground

Despite ongoing debate around the UK’s tax policies, sterling remains resilient—supported by its relative attractiveness in a shifting global landscape.

Strategic Currency Management Starts Here

With central banks setting the tone for currency markets, understanding the implications for your business or portfolio is crucial. Speak to a QuMoney expert today to navigate market moves and optimise your international transfers.

US retail sales underwhelm, adding pressure to the dollar. Stay informed with QuMoney’s expert currency insights and strategic guidance.

Market Update: Mixed US Retail Data Keeps Dollar Under Pressure

Global markets started the week with a cautiously optimistic tone, as risk appetite ticked slightly higher.

Mixed US Retail Sales Weigh on the Dollar

The key economic release of the day came from the United States, where retail sales for February posted a modest rebound of 0.2%—falling short of the 0.6% forecast. January’s figure was also revised lower to a 1.2% decline. The underwhelming data added to concerns about the strength of US consumer activity.

In response, the US dollar softened, slipping 0.4% against both the euro and the pound. Currency markets appear to be pricing in the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will maintain its current interest rate stance during tomorrow’s policy announcement.

Looking Ahead: US & Japan in Focus

Investors will now turn their attention to February’s US industrial production figures, due later today. Meanwhile, all eyes are also on the Bank of Japan, which is widely expected to leave rates unchanged during its upcoming meeting.

Expert Support When It Matters Most

Currency markets are moving on every data point. For businesses and individuals managing international transfers, it’s more important than ever to stay ahead of the curve. Speak to a QuMoney expert to make informed decisions and protect your bottom line.