Monthly Archives: March 2025

With no major UK data on the calendar today, investor attention has shifted across the Channel and over to the US for key economic updates.

EU Inflation Data Due This Morning

Markets are awaiting the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures from the eurozone. Inflation is expected to come in softer than last month, which could put downward pressure on the euro if confirmed.

FOMC Policy Decision Takes Centre Stage

The day’s headline event is the US Federal Reserve’s policy announcement this evening. The market consensus points to a rate cut, with the Fed expected to reduce its headline rate from 4.5% to 4.37%.

However, the real focus will be on the Fed’s forward guidance. Investors will be watching closely for any signals about further rate adjustments in 2025, as policymakers weigh slowing inflation against persistent economic uncertainty.

Euro Strengthens on German Spending Boost

The euro has continued to edge higher overnight, following Germany’s announcement of increased public expenditure. This fiscal shift, agreed late Sunday, has lent the single currency support against both the pound and the dollar.

Sterling Holds Its Ground

Despite ongoing debate around the UK’s tax policies, sterling remains resilient—supported by its relative attractiveness in a shifting global landscape.

Strategic Currency Management Starts Here

With central banks setting the tone for currency markets, understanding the implications for your business or portfolio is crucial. Speak to a QuMoney expert today to navigate market moves and optimise your international transfers.

Global markets started the week with a cautiously optimistic tone, as risk appetite ticked slightly higher.

Mixed US Retail Sales Weigh on the Dollar

The key economic release of the day came from the United States, where retail sales for February posted a modest rebound of 0.2%—falling short of the 0.6% forecast. January’s figure was also revised lower to a 1.2% decline. The underwhelming data added to concerns about the strength of US consumer activity.

In response, the US dollar softened, slipping 0.4% against both the euro and the pound. Currency markets appear to be pricing in the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will maintain its current interest rate stance during tomorrow’s policy announcement.

Looking Ahead: US & Japan in Focus

Investors will now turn their attention to February’s US industrial production figures, due later today. Meanwhile, all eyes are also on the Bank of Japan, which is widely expected to leave rates unchanged during its upcoming meeting.

Expert Support When It Matters Most

Currency markets are moving on every data point. For businesses and individuals managing international transfers, it’s more important than ever to stay ahead of the curve. Speak to a QuMoney expert to make informed decisions and protect your bottom line.

Markets have eased into the week with a relatively calm start, with limited data releases on the calendar for today. However, attention will quickly turn to key developments in both the US and Europe.

US Data in Focus: Retail Sales & NY Fed Survey

This afternoon, investors will be watching the NY Fed State Manufacturing Survey, which is expected to show a decline from the previous month. Should the data underperform, it may place further pressure on the US dollar.

The more significant release will be US retail sales figures, forecast to rebound to +0.6% following a sharp -0.9% drop the previous month. A stronger-than-expected print could lend support to the greenback and influence the Fed’s next steps.

Euro Strengthens on German Spending Plan

Over the weekend, the euro gained ground after Germany’s ruling parties agreed to a major fiscal stimulus package. The plan is set to unlock public spending worth approximately 2% of GDP annually over the next decade, with a focus on infrastructure and defence—potentially boosting growth across the eurozone.

Central Bank Updates Ahead

Looking ahead, markets will be closely monitoring interest rate decisions from both the Bank of England and the US Federal Reserve. The BoE is widely expected to hold rates steady at 4.5%, while the Fed’s policy update later in the week will be the main event for global investors and currency markets alike.

Plan Ahead with Expert Guidance

For tailored guidance on how these events may affect your international transfers or corporate exposure, speak to a QuMoney specialist today. We help you navigate volatility and seize the right opportunities.